Build a crypto process you can follow
Start simple: use weekly-and-daily checks to decide when to buy, wait, and size. You keep custody.
What Each Tool Is For
Start here. GLI tracks liquidity and gives early direction. Pair it with regime and risk checks.
Shows when BTC is above or below fair value. Use it to improve DCA timing.
Shows probabilities for macro expansion or stress. Helps set risk before conditions shift.
Shows when to be aggressive, cautious, or patient based on current regime.
Ranks higher-risk alt setups. Rotate selectively and skip weak weeks.
Shows which major asset is strongest so core exposure stays with strength.
Compares liquidity direction with dollar strength to refine macro context.
Shows whether system conditions support risk-taking. Best when collateral is firm and stress is low.
Compares assets on the same scale so you can see what is truly outperforming.
Tracks gold versus BTC as an additional macro cross-check for positioning.
Choose a Path for Your Time and Risk
Pick a level by time and risk. Major assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB, XMR. Alt League is higher risk.
Allocation: 0-100% based on HODL. Hold BTC on HODL. Move to cash on AVOID.
Allocation: 0-100% by HODL signal. Rotate core exposure to the strongest major asset by dominance.
Allocation: 0-100% by HODL. Split into spot core plus small leverage and alt sleeves (90/5/5).
Always invested in spot. Rotate between major assets by dominance. No cash mode.
Understand Signal Roles
Some signals lead, some describe current conditions, and some set valuation context.
Macro probability gauges cover 1-3 months. GLI/CLI usually lead by about one week.
Transmission Tracker, MOVE Index, and Collateral Multiplier show current stress and risk support.
Fair-value models help identify better DCA zones and when upside may already be crowded.
Conditions are strongest when liquidity is rising and system stress is controlled.
Your Weekly-and-Daily Routine
Keep this simple: short daily checks plus one deeper weekly review.
1. Check GLI and CLI direction
Start with liquidity direction and whether trend context is improving or weakening.
2. Read the latest letter
Read the weekly letter for context and key updates. Use AI chat to catch up fast when time is tight.
3. Check Market State and Regime
Decide whether to be aggressive, cautious, or patient before changing allocation.
4. Confirm risk before sizing
Check exchange and stablecoin risk before adding size or using leverage.
5. Review Alt League (Weekly)
Review weekly. Rotate only when rankings clearly change, and skip alts when setup quality is weak.
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